Amen. I've been pushing the same line of thought over at sosh. The mfy's have something this year that they haven't had for quite some time. Uncertainty about their starting rotation.
Mussina's an excellent pitcher. So is Vazquez. Kevin Brown was excellent in 2003 but mediocre in both 2001 and 2002. Brown was also injured for large parts of the 2001 and 2002 seasons. Lieber was a good pitcher in 2001. But he really wasn't a 20 game winner quality pitcher. He was the kind of pitcher who didn't strike out many guys and just outlasted the opposing pitcher (232 ip, 226 hits, 41 bb, 148 K's and 25 homers). He gave up 36 homers the year before. How good will Lieber be in the AL after not pitching since early 2002 and having Tommy John surgery in the interim? We don't know. The mfy's don't know either. Then, there's Contreras. He got whacked around every time by the Red Sox but did well against the likes of the Tigers. Will word go around to simply lay off his splitter the way the Sox did and will that work for everybody? We don't know. But he was no tower of strength in the playoffs, that's for sure.
So, the mfy's don't have 7 established starters this year or even five still in the primes of their careers with clear levels of established performance. They have uncertainty. It'd be a terrible shame if the back end of their rotation blew up in their faces. And it just might happen. Terrible shame.